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沥青高位盘整 能否风云再起?

2019-03-16     牛牛财经   来源:和讯名家
文章摘要:作者:美尔雅(600107)特邀分析师潘明坤   编辑整理:小美   今年初的沥青期货表现出王者之象。从1月初到2月中旬,沥青期货指数累计涨幅接近30%。30%是什么概念呢?若以25%的仓位轻仓做多,账户都可能获得70-75%的盈利。   但而2月份至今,沥青期货….
zuozhe:美meierya(600107)特teyaofenxishipanmingkun

  编bianjizhengli:小xiaomei

  今jinnianchude沥青期货biaoxianchuwangzhezhixiang。从cong1月yuechudao2月yuezhongxun,沥liqingqihuozhishuleijizhangfujiejin30%。30%是shishimegainianne?若ruoyi25%的decangweiqingcangzuoduo,账zhanghudukenenghuode70-75%的deyingli

  但daner2月yuefenzhijin,沥liqingqihuoyizaigaoweipanzheng1月yueyouyu,未weilailiqingqihuojiangpoweixiangxia,还huanshixiongfengyouqine

gerenyiwei,沥liqingqihuozhiyaojingshouguo3月yuefendebulihuanjingdexili,将jiangzai3月yuedihuo4月yuechujiangzhongxinxiongfengzaiqi
shouxianwomenlaikankanyuanyou,原yuanyoushizhenggehuagongpindedingjiazhimu。原yuanyouzhengtiwobingbukankongyouqishisuizhuoweilaimaruiyuanyougongyingpianjin,沥liqingzhizaochengbenyejiangtisheng

  今jinniandeyuanyoushichangdehuanshibijiaopianduodeopecchanyouguobuduandituichujianchanzhengce,2月yuefen OPEC产chanyouguozaidujianchan56万wantong/日ri,减jianchanzhixinglvpanshengzhi108%。沙shateyetichuliaojianchanjihua,在zai4月yuejiangyuanyouchukouliangxiaojianzhi700万wantong/日riyixia。俄eluosinengyuanbuchangyebiaoshijiangjiakuaishiyoujianchansudu。原yuanyouyizhiyilaishishouguojizhengcedeyingxiang,密mijidexianchandiaokongzhengcebiranhuixianzhiyuanyoudexiadiekongjian

  当dangranqizhongyingxiangzuidadeshijianshimeiguoduiweineiruiladezhicai,制zhicaishishihoudeyigeyuenei,委weineiruilayuanyouchukoudafujianshao40%。而erwomenshengchanliqingdeyuanliaopinzhongzhong,来laizimaruiyuanyoudezhanbiyaochaoguo40%,是shichaoguozhongdongyuanyou30%左zuoyoudezhanbi

  我womenzhidaoweineiruilashishijiezhongyaoshiyoushengchanyuchukouguozhiyi,也yeshishiyoushuchuguozuzhidesigechuangshiguozhiyi。马maruiyuanyoushimereycrudeoil,即jiweineiruilayuanyou

  委weineiruilachangguishiyoukekaicaichuliang776.8亿yitong,位weiju西xibanqiudiyi,在zaishijiepaimingdiwu,剩shengyukekaicaichuliang105亿yidun,若ruojiashangaolinuokedai12000亿yitongzhongyoudedizhichuliang(根genjumuqianjishushuiping,预yujikekaicaichuliangyuewei2350亿yitong),则zexiangdangyuzhenggezhongdongshiyouchuliangdeyiban;委weimuqianyuanyouchanliangzhanshijieyuanyouzongchanliangde3%,占zhan欧佩克chanliangdeyue10%。

  从congshangmiandeshujuwomenkeyikanchu,委weineiruilayidanchuxianbuliqingkuangduiliqingdeyingxianghuanshibijiaojudade。委weineiruilayouyuweijiqiyuanyouchanliangyijingzaijinjinianchuxianruijian,后houqizhicaideyingxiangjiang使shidewomenmaruiyuanyoujinkoucunzaizaijixuxiajiangdekeneng,原yuancailiaojiagedeshangzhangbiranhuidailailiqingzhizaochengbendetisheng

dier、从congliqingxiayoudexuqiushanglaikanyecunzailiangdian。今jinniandejijiantouzitongbiqunianshijiangtisude。通tongguoxiatuwomenkeyifaxian18年niandejijiantouzitongbizengsushichuxianduanyashixiadie。这zheyezaihuanbishangyizhiliaoliqingdexuqiu,但dancongguihuashanglaikanjinniandejichusheshijianshejiangtisu。从conghuanbishanglaikan,今jinnianliqingdexiayoudexuqiukendingyaohaoguoqunian

  今jinnianzhengfugongzuobaogaotichujiang“完wanchengtielutouzi 8000 亿yiyuan、公gonglushuiyuntouzi1.8 万wan亿yiyuan,再zaikaigongyipizhongdashuiligongcheng,加jiakuaichuancangtieluguihuajianshe,加jiadachengjijiaotong、物wuliu、市shizheng、 灾zaihaifangzhi、民minyonghetongyonghangkongdengjichusheshitouzilidu,加jiaqiangxinyidaixinxijichusheshijianshe。” 仅jin2月yueguojiajijianshenpidezongtouziwei 8031 亿yiyuan,同tongbizengchang 13.11%。

  而ercong1-2 月yueleijitongbilaikan,增zengchang 14.19%,从congzhegeshujuwomenzhishaokeyidui2019 年nianjijiantouzibaoyileguandexinxin

  而ercongzijinfangmianlaikan,今jinnianjinronglingyugonggeicegaigechengweigongzuozhongdian,金jinrongqugangganzefangzaiciyijideweizhi,因yincishichangdeliudongxingdaweihuanjie。而erqie2019年nianzhengfugongzuobaogaoxianshijinniannianpaidifangzhengfuzhuanxiangzhaiquan 2.15 万wan亿yiyuan,较jiaoqunianzengjia 8000 亿yiyuan,增zengfujiejin 60%。地difangzhengfuyouliaoqian,在zaijichusheshidetouzishanggengyoudongli

huiguotouwomenzailaikankanliqingdexiayouyongtu,从congshiyouliqingdeyongtulaikan,其qizhuyao使shiyongzaigonglu、市shizheng、机jichangdengjichujianshefangmian,因yincijijianyidanfangliangjiang使shideliqingdexuqiudedaobushaodetizhen
第<spandi三san、我womenlaikankanliqingdejichaqingkuang,从congjichaeryanshiliyuliqingduotoude。基jichajiushiliqingxianhuojiagejianquliqingde期货价格。数shuzhiyuegaodaibiaoqihuohexianhuodechajuyueda,由youyuqihuodejiaoyijubeiyidingdeshixiaoxing,因yincisuizhuojiaogeyuedelinjinzhegechajuzuizhonghuigui,即jijichaxiufu。 src="http://i2.hexun.com/2019-03-16/196517741.jpg">
disan、我womenlaikankanliqingdejichaqingkuang,从congjichaeryanshiliyuliqingduotoude。基jichajiushiliqingxianhuojiagejianquliqingdeqihuojiage。数shuzhiyuegaodaibiaoqihuohexianhuodechajuyueda,由youyuqihuodejiaoyijubeiyidingdeshixiaoxing,因yincisuizhuojiaogeyuedelinjinzhegechajuzuizhonghuigui,即jijichaxiufu

  沥liqingxianhuowomenxuanzehuadongdiqujiaozhongliqingdexianhuojiage。基jichayuegaodaibiaomuqiandeqihuobeidigudeyueyanzhong。我womencongliqingjichadejijiexingtubiaolaikan,军jun绿lvseshidaibiao2019年nian,可kejianmuqiandejichashuipingshiweiyujinjiniandegaowei。目muqiandejichashuipingjiejin200块kuai,也yejiushishuoweilaieryan,即ji使shiliqingxianhuobushangzhang,沥liqingqihuoyeyou200左zuoyoudeshangzhangkongjian

  沥liqingjicha

disi、沥liqingdekucunlvshuipingchuyu3年niandediwei,库kucunshuipingbugaoyiweizhuoyidanyouliduoyinsudeciji,沥liqingdejiagejirongyilianxushangzhang。但danyaozhuyideshi,目muqianguoneiliqingkaigonglvjixuxiajiang,远yuandiyuwangniantongqishuiping。3月yuefenliqingchangjiajihuapaichanliangdafuzengjia,可kenengtuidongliqinggongyingliangzengchang

  而erqianqiliqingchangjiakaigonglvbugaodezhuyaoyuanyinshilirunxiahuayanzhong。主zhuyaoyuanyinshishoudaomaruiyuanyoutieshuidafushangzhangdeyingxiang,在zaiyuanyoujiagexiaofubodongdeqingkuangxia,马maruichengbendafushangzhang,导daozhishandongdulilianchangliqingshengchanlirunchuxianxiajiang。炼lianchangbuzenmezhuanqian,自ziranhuijiangdikaigonglv

  沥liqingkucunlv

zuihoulaitanyidanliqingqihuodecaozuo,我womentongjiliaoyixialiqing1906的dejijiexingguilvfaxian,沥liqing1906合heyuezai3月yuefenfeichangrongyichuxianxiadie,而erzai4月yuefenjiqirongyishangzhang。背beihoukenengdeyuanyinshi3月yuefenliqingdexuqiubingweiwanquanqidong,4月yuefensuizhuoqiwendezhujianhuinuan,下xiayoudaolushigongluxuhuifu,沥liqingdexuqiujiangdedaomingxiandetisheng

  沥liqing1906的dejijiexingguilv

muqianliqinghuancunzhuolianchangkaigonglvtishengdailaichanliangzengjia,可kenengyehuiyazhiliqingjiage

  因yincicongjiaoyishangeryan,应yinggaishizuozuiquedingdeshiqing,因yincibikaibuquedingxingde3月yue,而erzai4月yuechumairunengmingxiantishengwomenjiaoyichenggongdegailv

  在zaimuqiandikucun、未weilaimaruiyuanyougongyingpianjinyijixiayouxuqiutizhendedabeijingxia,沥liqingdagailvhuixiongfengzaiqi,我womenzhixuyaoguanceqijiagezai3月yuefenzhiqiannengfouweichizai3100上shangfang,目muqianliqingzaijishuxingtaizouchuliaozuiqiangshideqixingdiaozheng,如ruhouqirengweichizai3100上shang,我womenkezai4月yuefendadanmairuliqing1906合heyue

yishangneirongshibencimeieryateyaofenxishi

  潘panmingkunlaoshifenxiangdezhuyaoguandianneirong-下xiacizaijian-

  潘panmingkun

  潘panmingkun,金jinrongxueshuoshi,美meieryaqihuozichanguanlizhongxinheisefenxishi,致zhiliyuheisexichantouyangongzuo。有youduonianqihuogupiaotouzijingyan,曾zengrenmousimuyanjiubufuzeren,擅shanchangyuconghongguanshijiaohechanyeronghechufaxiantouzijihui

    本benwenshoufayuweixingongzhonghao:美meieryaqihuo。文wenzhangneirongshuzuozhegerenguandian,不budaibiaohexunwanglichang。投touzizhejucicaozuo,风fengxianqingzidan

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